What Just Happened In France's Shock Election?

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When he declared early elections, President Emmanuel Macron bet everything, and it looks like he lost everything. His centrist coalition lost the elections, placing second to the New Popular Front's left-wing coalition. But no bloc has managed to secure a majority, indicating that political squabbling is imminent. What is the 46-year-old's interpretation of this?

To the left, it is a "oui," and to the right, a "non." However, Emmanuel Macron, the president of France, sees a lot of questions. The far-right National Rally (RN), led by Marine Le Pen, has dropped to third place in the French parliament as a result of the left-wing alliance taking the lead in the country's second round of polling.

The unexpected election results reveal that the far-right party, with 143 seats, came in third place, behind President Emmanuel Macron's centrist Together coalition with 163 seats and the left alliance, the New Popular Front, with 182 seats. The left alliance may have won, but it still lacks an outright majority by more than 100 seats, which casts doubt on the future of politics in the nation.

The outcome has also raised questions about Macron's presidency, with some speculating that he would step down. Actually, the findings were appropriately titled "C'est Ouf," which translates to "It's crazy," by the left-leaning publication Libération.

What took occurred during voting?

French election: What happened and what comes next? | CNN

On Sunday, the loss of Marine Le Pen's far-right National Rally (RN) was celebrated by exultant crowds in eastern Paris. The far-right unexpectedly dropped from first to third place in the second round of polls.

Meanwhile, the New Popular Front (NPF) pulled off an unexpected victory, while Macron's centrists came in second in the polls.

As a result, weeks of political and economic turmoil lie ahead, prompting Prime Minister Gabriel Attal to declare that he will tender his resignation to Macron while simultaneously indicating that he is prepared to continue in an acting role.

Leader of the Socialist Party and NFP coalition member Olivier Faure stated that a replacement for Attal would be selected "either by consensus or a vote" this week, but the decision will be challenging.

Why does Macron find the findings problematic?

The outcomes, according to several analysts, portend problems for Macron. But how is it that this is so?

Although the president of France appoints the prime minister, the nomination must take into account the party composition of the National Assembly. As a result, the president must select the candidate from the largest party or coalition; at the moment, this means he must select a member of the far-left NFP.

This implies that the prime minister and president Macron will come from distinct political backgrounds and hold divergent opinions on how to run the nation. This kind of arrangement, called cohabitation in France, has happened on a few occasions, most recently under right-wing President Jacques Chirac's socialist premiership of Lionel Jospin.

A number of significant reforms, including those that the president opposed, were passed in France in 2000. For example, under Chirac's presidency, Jospin enacted a reform reducing labor hours from 39 per week to 35.

Macron, whose term expires in 2027, may decide to step down in light of the political impasse.

Macron, though, has made it clear that he will not step down "no matter the outcome." Additionally, the Elysee Palace said in a statement on Monday, July 8, that Macron will "wait" to decide on a new administration.

The Elysee declared, "The president will guarantee that the sovereign choice of the French people is respected in his capacity as guarantor of our institutions." It further stated, citing Macron's meticulous assessment of the developing situation, that "in keeping with republican tradition, he will await the structuring of the new National Assembly before taking the necessary decisions."

However, the rumors around Macron's resignation have picked up steam, with others close to him issuing similar warnings. "In seven years, I've had the opportunity to spend hours with (Mr. Macron)," a Cabinet member was said to have said. He might promise you something one day, right in front of you, and then do the exact opposite the next. the exact opposite.

What does France's future hold?

French election results a win for left and center candidates - The  Washington Post

France is facing its first hung parliament in modern history, with none of the blocs obtaining the majority of at least 289 MPs out of 577.

Macron could try to reach an agreement to form a coalition government with the moderate left. Since France has no precedent for these kinds of agreements, the AP notes that such discussions, if they do place, are anticipated to be exceedingly challenging.

Macron has disqualified himself from collaborating with Jean-Luc Melenchon's hard-left France Unbowed party, though. However, the 46-year-old stated that he might help the Greens and Socialists.

The Guardian cited longtime Macron friend François Bayrou as stating that it would be on to "everyone to sit at a table, and accept their responsibilities" and that the "days of an absolute majority are over."

Regardless of the outcome, one thing is certain: France is about to enter a protracted period of political unrest and volatility. "The far right has rejected its rule in France today," according to Eurasia Group consultant Mujtaba Rahman. "However, despite the fact that the far right has significantly underperformed and the left has exceeded expectations, the results indicate paralysis and deadlock."

And this uncertainty occurs at the most inopportune moment for France: July 26 is the date of the Olympic Games in Paris. Senior Olympics planner Pierre Rabadan told Financial Times that although major strategic choices had already been taken, the action creates "pragmatic and operational questions," such as how to staff the municipal police and mayoral office for the Games.

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